Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 11.303220 12.608686 14.017712 15.653797 17.504091 19.534960 21.937218
2025-06-15 9.446958 11.253922 13.350511 15.972476 19.177030 22.982931 27.870288
2025-06-22 7.863244 9.898649 12.409128 15.754848 20.129138 25.697948 33.394651
2025-06-29 6.609130 8.721460 11.467287 15.334754 20.700209 27.966804 38.699694
2025-07-06 5.716933 7.861946 10.782134 15.102571 21.424627 30.481843 44.702656
2025-07-13 5.220713 7.457695 10.636155 15.559901 23.136333 34.587884 53.659828
2025-07-20 4.816227 7.120528 10.524348 16.024079 24.889608 38.976727 63.781107
2025-07-27 4.417207 6.734703 10.279674 16.230340 26.239008 42.892653 73.776812
2025-08-03 3.993684 6.256983 9.828050 16.030649 26.869937 45.676464 82.251695
2025-08-10 3.620189 5.814498 9.376414 15.760877 27.321284 48.179388 90.606252
2025-08-17 3.297553 5.419296 8.955261 15.481939 27.700314 50.576015 99.140261
2025-08-24 3.039454 5.105121 8.634933 15.335818 28.289321 53.426290 109.069217
2025-08-31 2.816002 4.834737 8.372749 15.283612 29.088370 56.883506 121.137839
2025-09-07 2.689125 4.722904 8.382110 15.745768 30.970339 62.843012 140.012540
2025-09-14 2.495533 4.470540 8.106561 15.617775 31.627882 66.329672 153.915444
2025-09-21 2.293195 4.182578 7.734451 15.249794 31.723925 68.597686 165.344456
2025-09-28 2.131725 3.956934 7.459128 15.046131 32.144583 71.658739 179.440344
2025-10-05 2.058766 3.895839 7.501090 15.517603 34.149043 78.772820 205.941789
2025-10-12 1.990664 3.837568 7.541876 15.989862 36.223686 86.418562 235.813240
2025-10-19 1.902533 3.730436 7.470486 16.201136 37.702268 92.815250 263.673909
2025-10-26 1.785470 3.553268 7.234160 16.004946 38.143688 96.567952 284.436683
2025-11-02 1.672543 3.375362 6.979920 15.737394 38.366490 99.770410 304.292217
2025-11-09 1.568345 3.207654 6.733063 15.459891 38.525901 102.829731 324.504691